One day later, Germany’s historic 7-1 victory over World Cup favorites Brazil is still hard to fathom. You’ve doubtlessly heard it was Brazil’s first home loss since 1975, the biggest blowout loss by a host nation in World Cup history and the biggest World Cup semifinal rout in history. Somehow, it was even worse than that. Here are five more unbelievable facts about Brazil’s unbelievable loss.
1. It was almost impossible to bet on the eventual final score.
You can wager on almost everything. Want to bet on what kind of hat Bruno Mars will wear at the Super Bowl? You can do it. Want to bet on LeBron James outscoring the New England Patriots on any given Sunday? You can do it. Want to put down some money on whether Roger Federer’s two sets of twins will end up playing each other in the mixed doubles finals of Wimbledon? You can do it.
What you couldn’t do, however, was find many places to bet on Germany defeating Brazil 7-1. The Las Vegas Super Book offered odds on the exact score of the game, but didn’t go any higher than Germany (or Brazil) winning 4-0. (Those odds were 60/1, by the way.) Bovada listed 6-0 at 250/1 but had nothing for 7-1. However, the online betting exchange Betfair says it had someone offer 999/1 odds on Germany winning 7-1.
The approximate $22 bet would have netted a little under $22,000 at those odds.
2. The actual odds of a 7-1 Germany win were even steeper than 999/1!
According to fivethirtyeight.com, the odds of Germany winning by six goals was 0.025%. The odds of Germany scoring seven goals was 0.022%. (The 999/1 odds are the equivalent of a 0.1001% chance.) This after the statistics website gave Brazil a 65% to win the game. As a crow-eating Nate Silver wrote on Tuesday, the final result was “truly shocking.”
3. The FIFA goal summary graphic couldn’t fit all of Germany’s goals.
FIFA’s score overlay needed to scroll up in order to show the sixth goal, which says as much about the foresight of FIFA than it does Germany’s dominance. Ridiculously, the graphic was only been able to show four different goal scorers at once. They just got lucky Toni Kroos scored two, or else the thing would have been scrolling after Germany’s fifth goal too.
4. Germany scored four goals in six minutes, but that doesn’t tell the whole story.
As Josh Levin of Slate points out, don’t buy the “Germany scored four goals in six minutes” thing. It’s impressive, sure, but Germany’s flurry was even better than that. Those four goals came from the 23rd to 29th minute, but when you factor in the goal celebrations and cuts to sad Brazilian fans in the stands, the ball wasn’t in play all that time. In reality, the second, third and fourth goals came in 2 minutes, 58 seconds of game play, according to Levin. Overall, goals Nos. 2-5 came in 4:06 of gameplay.
5. You don’t need to know Portuguese to decipher these front-page headlines from Brazil.
— Jim Roberts (@nycjim) July 9, 2014
— Gerold Riedmann (@GeroldRiedmann) July 9, 2014